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Moore's Law: Industry
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The implications of Moore's Law are quite obvious and profound. It is increasingly referred to as a ruler, gauge, benchmark (see subtitle), barometer, or some other form of definitive measurement of innovation and progress within the semiconductor industry. As one industry watcher has recently put it:
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Moore's Law implies that there will be an eight-fold increase in processing power and memory capacity between now and 2010, greatly impacting the disruptiveness of the electronic game industry. It is expected that 450 million homes worldwide will have broadband connections by 2010, with one billion individuals having access to multimedia mobile phones that could support game downloads and some form of mobile game playing. Storage capacity will likely increase to 1,000 gigabytes of disk storage in a typical home PC by 2010, enabling games to be longer and more complex with enhanced visual detail, sound effects and music.
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One of the duties of any publication in the computer industry is to cast periodic doubt on the future reliability of Moore's Law... keeping the phrase prominent in the public perception. EDN Magazine discharged its duty for this year with great aplomb by publishing this piece last week.
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A recent survey of some of the best thinkers in the high-tech industry revealed a wide range of responses to the question, "How many more years will Moore's Law play out?" including:
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