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Moore's Law: Gordon Moore
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For years, chip makers focused on making faster processors,following Moore's Law, named for Intel cofounder Gordon Moore, that processor power would double every two years. More recently, chip makers have tried to improve energy efficiency, both to lengthen battery life in portable devices and reduce electrical use in servers and other computers. Electricity not only costs more but generating it causes pollution. Pressure to decrease power use and related carbon emissions is regarded by some as"Gore's Law,"so called for environmental activist and former U.S. vice president Al Gore.
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The origins of Moore's Law came from a speech made famous by Gordon Moore, who later became the founder of Intel in 1965. He observed that the number of micro-components that could be placed in an integrated circuit (microchip) of the lowest manufacturing cost was doubling every year and that this trend would likely continue into the future. This later started to be known as Moore's Law. It was later determined that they would double every 2 years.[1]
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The examination of Moore's Law would not be complete without drawing analogues to other technologies. This has been done often for various reasons. For example, in arguing the uniqueness of the million-fold cost reductions and performance improvements in semiconductors, Gordon Moore jokingly cites that if similar progress were made in transportation technologies such as air travel, a modern day commercial aircraft would cost $500, circle the earth in 20 minutes, and only use five gallons of fuel. However, it may only be the size of a shoebox. Stephen Kline of Stanford has suggested a bit more appropriate use of the aircraft analogy, suggesting that the earlier era of rapid advances in aircraft speed and performance may offer additional insight.
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Moore's Law is the empirical observation in 1965 that the number of transistors on an integrated circuit for minimum component cost, doubles every 24 months. It is attributed to Gordon E. Moore, co-founder of Intel. So, the speed and storage capacity of computers keeps going through the roof. Why can't this happen for vehicle efficiency?
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This paper attempts to describe the origin, nature, and implications of "Moore's Law" in a comprehensive fashion. It begins with an historical overview of the major developments in semiconductor electronics that led up to Gordon Moore's 1965 observation. The next section examines the "Moore's Law" concept in detail along with some of its broader implications. This is followed by a review of the critical input side of the industry -- semiconductor manufacturing equipment makers. The paper then briefly examines "Moore's Law" analogues along with more general interpretations and policy considerations. Finally, preliminary conclusions are offered.
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Gordon Moore, the mind behind Moore's Law, predicts his law of doubling processor transistors every two years will be proven wrong in about 10 years. Apparently, there's only so much room on a processor and so small you can make a transistor before you run out of space. [I4U]
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